It’s the final month of fall, and it’s mostly been on the warm side for Alabama so far.
But will it continue?
The long-range trends suggest it will, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
The CPC’s temperature outlook for all of November shows a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-average temperatures for much of the state. The exception is the southeast, which has a 33 to 40 percent chance of warmer temperatures. (See the map at the top of this post.)
The probabilities of warmer weather rise even more in the short-term time frame.
The CPC’s 6- to 10-day outlook shows a 60 to 70 percent probability of above-average temperatures for most of the state through Nov. 10:
The 6- to 10-day temperature outlook shows good probabilities that temperatures will be warmer than average in Alabama.
On the precipitation front it’s looking drier than average for much of the state.
The November precipitation outlook shows at 40 to 50 percent probability of below-average precipitation for all of Alabama over the next 30 days:
Drier-than-average conditions will be possible across Alabama this month.
However, the 6- to 10-day outlook suggests precipitation for Alabama over the next few days could be near average:
Near average rainfall is expected in Alabama the next 10 days.
What is average, anyway?
Here’s a look at average high and low temperatures and precipitation in November for a few Alabama cities:
* Alexander City
High: 66.4 degrees
Low: 40.3 degrees
Precipitation: 4.40 inches
* Birmingham
High: 65 degrees
Low: 43 degrees
Precipitation: 4.23 inches
* Cullman
High: 61.6 degrees
Low: 37.7 degrees
Precipitation: 4.95 inches
* Dauphin Island
High: 67.8 degrees
Low: 55.6 degrees
Precipitation: 5.13 inches
* Dothan
High: 71.1 degrees
Low: 46.7 degrees
Precipitation: 3.91 inches
* Fort Payne
High: 64.1 degrees
Low: 41.2 degrees
Precipitation: 4.53 inches
* Gadsden
High: 64 degrees
Low: 41.3 degrees
Preciptation: 4.25 inches
* Greenville
High: 69.3 degrees
Low: 41.1 degrees
Precipitation: 4.97 inches
* Haleyville
High: 61.9 degrees
Low: 41.7 degrees
Precipitation: 5.06 inches
* Highland Home
High: 69.2 degrees
Low: 43.7 degrees
Precipitation: 4.21 inches
* Huntsville
High: 63.9 degrees
Low: 41.2 degrees
Precipitation: 4.25 inches
* Mobile
High: 70.2 degrees
Low: 47.7 degrees
Precipitation: 4.60 inches
* Montgomery
High: 69.8 degrees
Low: 43.3 degrees
Precipitation: 3.85 inches
* Muscle Shoals
High: 63.8 degrees
Low: 41.2 degrees
Precipitation: 4.15 inches
* Russellville
High: 63 degrees
Low: 39.8 degrees
Precipitation: 5.44 inches
* Selma
High: 69.2 degrees
Low: 43 degrees
Precipitation: 4.07 inches
* Troy
High: 67.9 degrees
Low: 44.8 degrees
Precipitation: 3.80 inches
* Tuscaloosa
High: 65.6 degrees
Low: 42.8 degrees
Precipitation: 4.52 inches
